MacroPolis

Greece enters 2026 with a striking paradox: macro stability on paper, deep social and political strain on the ground.

Our new ProMacro_Scope Q4 bulletin — produced with Prorata — captures this tension with fresh exclusion polling, proprietary socioeconomic indicators and forward‑looking analysis.

This quarter’s signals are unusually clear:

• Economic pressure is intensifying, with the Economic Sentiment Index stuck at 4.2/10 and 74% citing cost of living as their top concern.
• Political trust remains structurally low, with protest intention still elevated.
• Foreign‑policy scepticism has surged, especially toward the US under the Trump presidency.
• Electoral volatility is deepening, as new actors like Maria Karystianou and a potential Tsipras vehicle reshape the landscape.
• Voters are demanding moral clarity and reformist resolve, with outsider figures outperforming mainstream leaders on integrity, consistency and effectiveness.

Alongside the data, this edition analyses the farmers’ revolt, the OPEKEPE scandal, renewed scrutiny of Tempe and Predator, diplomatic turbulence with Washington, and the political implications of Tsipras’s re‑entry — all against the backdrop of a crowded and increasingly unpredictable path to 2027.

For organisations navigating Greece’s political and economic environment, these signals matter. They point to a system under pressure, an electorate searching for alternatives, and a policy landscape where stability cannot be taken for granted.