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Newsletter 65 - 04/03/2016
of a primary surplus of 3.5 percent of GDP. In contrast, the EC and the government estimate a lower... percent contraction it foresaw in its flash estimate on February 12. The reported figures point... lower than the initial estimate incorporated in the third bailout programme of a recession of 2.3
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Final budget sees strong growth, fiscal overperformance in 2018
EconomyMacroeconomy. Athens now sees 2017 growth settling at 1.6 percent, well below the initial estimate. The Finance...). In fact, private consumption only grew by half the original estimate, 0.9 percent. Investment also reached just over half the estimate, increasing by 5.1 percent. The growth of exports did
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Q3 GDP beats consensus, rises by 0.5 pct QoQ and 1.5 pct YoY
EconomyMacroeconomyfor 2016. The MoF, Bank of Greece (BoG) and the EC estimate a mild GDP contraction of 0.3 percent, while OECD’s estimate stands a bit lower at 0.2 percent. In contrast, IMF sees a marginal GDP expansion of 0.1 percent. For the full year MoF and EC estimate of a GDP contraction of 0.3 percent to be met
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IMF expects modest recovery, lingering debt but primary surplus to return swiftly
EconomyMacroeconomyto 3.6 pct in the last quarter of next year. This year’s estimate is marginally lower than the one... estimate for a 8.2 pct GDP contraction last year. Greece is seen coming off deflation this year..., after -7.4 pct last year and a recovery from next year up to 2026 at -3.5 pct. This year’s estimate
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Newsletter 364 - 23/12/2022
. This is broadly in line with the European Commission’s estimate published about a month go, which... regarding next year. In its review in October, S&P presented an estimate of 1.7 pct growth in 2023. Also... in Parliament last weekend, the growth estimate for 2022 was 5.6 pct and 1.8 pct for 2023. The most recent
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Newsletter 136 - 20/10/2017
, missing the target by 101 million euros. The Hellenic Statistical Authority’s (ELSTAT) second estimate... in real terms last year rather than the 0 percent estimate released in March. In nominal terms, the economy dropped by 1.2 percent against an initial estimate of 0.1 percent growth. ELSTAT also
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Contraction of 0.1 pct in Q4 sees 2018 GDP fall slightly below target at 1.9 pct
EconomyMacroeconomyreleased a first estimate of the overall GDP figure for 2018, showing that it grew by 1.9 percent...’s (MoF) final budget estimate of 2.1 percent for 2018. A breakdown of annual components showed... by 7.5 percent, meaning that the initial figures for 2018 have beaten this estimate. Imports of goods
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Newsletter 292 - 09/04/2021
of next year. This year’s estimate is marginally lower than the one forecast in the previous WEO... anticipated GDP to shrink by 9.5 pct in 2020, before ELSTAT’s first estimate for a 8.2 pct GDP... and a recovery from next year up to 2026 at -3.5 pct. This year’s estimate is a deterioration from October’s
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GDP grows by 0.1 pct in Q4, up by 1.4 pct in 2017
EconomyMacroeconomythe quarter. ELSTAT also released a first estimate of the overall GDP figure for 2017, showing that it grew... the Ministry of Finance’s (MoF) final budget estimate of 1.6 percent. This was driven largely by a 15.7... in November 2017. For 2018, the MoF revised upwards the growth estimate to 2.5 percent from 2.4 percent
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Macroeconomic fundamentals for Greece
Agora). This is the estimate we use for Greece’s Natural Rate of Unemployment, reflecting reforms that were made during..., which will be growing. We estimate for now an underlying structural interest bill of 4 percent... as the proportion of market-placed debt grows. Finally, we can estimate that Greece needs a structural primary
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