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  1. What is the state of play with Greek banks?

    Economy

    , the evolution of bad loans going forward is the key threat and unpredictable factor in any estimate... loss projections with forward-looking estimates on the domestic loan losses over a 5-year horizon... a majority stake in Pangaea, its real estate investment subsidiary with an estimated market value of its

    4%

  2. Greek banks' capital backstop and the funding gap: An uneasy relationship
    Photo by Harry van Versendaal

    Economy

    backstop facility. It is, however, premature to estimate any a figure given that several major issues... point out: - the haircut that would be applied to banks’ profitability estimates included... for 2014-15. The latter was estimated at 10.9 billion by the IMF in its latest review report in July 2013

    4%

  3. Troika review begins with fiscal targets and tax breaks in focus
    Photo by MacroPolis

    EconomyMacroeconomy

    of 1.5 percent. The ministry is reportedly going to set its estimate for 2015 at 2.3 – 2.5 percent... by Athens and its lenders. Apart from the updated estimates on income tax and single property tax... was estimated at 2.02 billion (1.1 percent of GDP) by the IMF in its fifth review report on June 10

    4%

  4. Updated Greek reform proposals see 2015 primary surplus reaching programme target 3 pct

    EconomyProgramme

    of GDP in 2015 incorporated under the assumption that there are no policy changes. This estimate... (privatization proceeds) of 1.5 billion for 2015. Under more positive estimates on the revenue..., the primary surplus for 2015 is estimated at 2.1 billion euros compared to 593 million in 2014. The breakdown

    4%

  5. December retail sales seen down 2.5 pct amid tax onrush
    Photo by Panayotis Tzamaros/Fosphotos

    EconomyMacroeconomy

    percent respectively in private consumption. The OECD estimate is less optimistic as it forecasts... to the corresponding period last year, according to the preliminary estimates of the Hellenic Confederation of Commerce and Entrepreneurship (ESEE). Retail sales are estimated below the 4-billion-euro mark

    4%

  6. Banks meet NPE reduction targets in Q3, adjust targets for next two years
    Bank of Greece

    EconomyMacroeconomy

    conservative estimate of a 1.2 billion increase between Q2 2017 and the end of 2019. Curing is seen as falling by 2.5 billion due to higher sales and loan write-offs. These estimates are driven by BoG... adjusted to 21.1 percent from a previous target of 36.1 percent. Most of the estimated NPE and NPL

    4%

  7. IFRS 9 provisions required by banks in line with expectations

    EconomyBanking

    of potential loan losses. Market analysts had estimated the impact of the new accounting rules in the region of 5.5 to 6 billion euros. Alpha Bank announced that its estimate for the IFRS adoption.... Greek lenders recently announced their estimates for the first-time adoption of the new IFRS 9

    4%

  8. Newsletter 209 -07/06/2019

    Newsletters

    also adopted a package of permanent fiscal measures which the European institutions estimate will have...) in the first quarter (Q1) of 2019 after a decline of -0.1 percent seen in Q4 2018, provisional estimates from... have an estimated impact of around 1 percent of GDP, or 1.8 billion euros, and is seen as being

    4%

  9. GDP falls by 14 pct QoQ in Q2 and by 15.2 pct YoY to reach historic low
    Photo by Manolis Tsafos/Fosphotos

    EconomyMacroeconomy

    in 2020, with a recovery estimate of 5.1 percent in 2021.... quarter (Q2) of 2020 after a revised decrease of 0.7 percent in Q1 2020, provisional estimates from...’s GDP, a contraction of 4.7 percent is expected in 2020 compared to an estimated 2 percent GDP

    4%

  10. Newsletter 329 - 25/02/2022

    Newsletters

    estimates, Greek nominal GDP will exceed 187 billion euros in 2022. Assuming this materialises and the institutions’ nominal growth estimate of 4 pct growth in 2023 proves accurate, the 2023 GDP is seen... and there is a clearer picture regarding the available fiscal space. It is estimated

    4%