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  1. Newsletter 101 - 23/12/2016

    Newsletters

    of reforms and privatisation measures. BoG upgraded its macro estimates, which now point to a marginal GDP growth of 0.1 percent in 2016 from a mild recession of 0.3 percent in its previous estimate... estimated that the increased use of plastic money in Q3 2015 explains the increase in VAT revenues by 600

    3%

  2. December retail sales seen down 2.5 pct amid tax onrush
    Photo by Panayotis Tzamaros/Fosphotos

    EconomyMacroeconomy

    percent respectively in private consumption. The OECD estimate is less optimistic as it forecasts... to the corresponding period last year, according to the preliminary estimates of the Hellenic Confederation of Commerce and Entrepreneurship (ESEE). Retail sales are estimated below the 4-billion-euro mark

    3%

  3. Multiple potential benefits await Greece if it can clinch QE eligibility
    Photo by ECB via Flickr https://flic.kr/p/qhZVDy

    EconomyFeatures

    range is applied on a rolling basis. On the back of those restrictions, we estimate that the eligible... estimates on the correlation between government bond yields, credit ratings and monetary policies... is delayed significantly, the impact on bond yields would be lower than initially estimated and would

    3%

  4. Banks meet NPE reduction targets in Q3, adjust targets for next two years
    Bank of Greece

    EconomyMacroeconomy

    conservative estimate of a 1.2 billion increase between Q2 2017 and the end of 2019. Curing is seen as falling by 2.5 billion due to higher sales and loan write-offs. These estimates are driven by BoG... adjusted to 21.1 percent from a previous target of 36.1 percent. Most of the estimated NPE and NPL

    3%

  5. IFRS 9 provisions required by banks in line with expectations

    EconomyBanking

    of potential loan losses. Market analysts had estimated the impact of the new accounting rules in the region of 5.5 to 6 billion euros. Alpha Bank announced that its estimate for the IFRS adoption.... Greek lenders recently announced their estimates for the first-time adoption of the new IFRS 9

    3%

  6. Lenders fret over reform delays as Brussels revises 2019 growth forecast upwards to 2.2 pct
    Photo by Angelos Christofilopoulos/Fosphotos

    EconomyProgramme

    is estimated to reach 2.2 percent in 2019 and 2.3 percent in 2020, compared to an estimate of 2 percent... from the previous estimates in Autumn. The Commission sees 2018 growth settling at 2 percent

    3%

  7. Newsletter 209 -07/06/2019

    Newsletters

    also adopted a package of permanent fiscal measures which the European institutions estimate will have...) in the first quarter (Q1) of 2019 after a decline of -0.1 percent seen in Q4 2018, provisional estimates from... have an estimated impact of around 1 percent of GDP, or 1.8 billion euros, and is seen as being

    3%

  8. GDP falls by 14 pct QoQ in Q2 and by 15.2 pct YoY to reach historic low
    Photo by Manolis Tsafos/Fosphotos

    EconomyMacroeconomy

    in 2020, with a recovery estimate of 5.1 percent in 2021.... quarter (Q2) of 2020 after a revised decrease of 0.7 percent in Q1 2020, provisional estimates from...’s GDP, a contraction of 4.7 percent is expected in 2020 compared to an estimated 2 percent GDP

    3%

  9. Newsletter 329 - 25/02/2022

    Newsletters

    estimates, Greek nominal GDP will exceed 187 billion euros in 2022. Assuming this materialises and the institutions’ nominal growth estimate of 4 pct growth in 2023 proves accurate, the 2023 GDP is seen... and there is a clearer picture regarding the available fiscal space. It is estimated

    3%

  10. Finance Ministry costs new support package, but questions remain over electricity subsidies
    Photo via www.government.gov.gr

    Economy

    official revision of the growth estimate for this year. GDP is now seen rising by 5.3 pct, from 3.1 pct... roughly 20 pct below the 2010 levels. The Finance Ministry admitted that in the latest estimates the cost... euros for 2022. The actual fiscal cost of those interventions on the energy market are estimated

    3%