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  1. Does the EU Commission suffer from optimism bias? (Part 1)
    Photo by EC - Audiovisual Service

    Agora

    from the “optimism bias,” which tends to lead the Brussels institution to making forecasts about...” in economic projections is quite common. This optimism bias is best avoided because it can lead

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  2. ND warns of fiscal risk from SYRIZA pledges as Tsipras takes heart from Cyprus polls
    Photo by MacroPolis

    PoliticsGreek Politics

    wage rises to the private sector would, according to Mitsotakis’s team, lead to a wave of business... with an 8.5-pct lead when polls predicted a thin margin. The SYRIZA leader’s optimism is only somewhat

    6%

  3. Moment of reckoning for SYRIZA as firebrand MP threatened with deselection
    Image: https://www.syriza.gr/

    PoliticsGreek Politics

    “grist to New Democracy’s mill”. It is widely expected that the disciplinary procedure will lead... lead to Polakis walking out of the party of which he has been a prominent element on the national

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  4. New Democracy pins hopes on minimum wage hike to reverse poll losses

    PoliticsGreek Politics

    for Mega TV show ND losing a significant chunk of its lead over SYRIZA and dropping below... government. Metron Analysis estimates ND’s lead over SYRIZA shrinking to 5.8 percentage points

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  5. Newsletter 375 - 24/03/2023

    Newsletters

    this week confirmed that ND has taken a serious hit to its ratings, narrowing its lead over SYRIZA to just..., Greek Solution 13 and MeRA25 12. Such a scenario would almost certainly lead to a second vote

    6%

  6. Parties give first hint of strategies in reaction to poll announcement
    Photo by MacroPolis

    PoliticsGreek Politics

    Political parties in Greece kicked into full election mode after the prime minister announced that he plans to go to the polls on May 21. With the ruling party’s lead slashed in the aftermath... lead to a third contest, the earliest date for which would be August 6. Strategies Given

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  7. Election campaign moves into gear, opinion poll data still equivocal
    Photo by MacroPolis

    PoliticsGreek Politics

    , they are encouraged by the fact that the centre-right party still has a lead in all the opinion polls... with some optimism about making further inroads into ND’s lead and perhaps creating a situation where

    6%

  8. SYRIZA's coalition options scrutinised as Tsipras remains focussed on first place
    Image: www.syriza.gr

    PoliticsGreek Politics

    The question of whether SYRIZA would be willing to lead a governing coalition if it does not win the May 21 elections is being scrutinised after seemingly contradictory remarks by the left-wing party... of the vote and, therefore, the necessary legitimacy to lead the country. These comments run counter

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  9. Rise of smaller parties a barrier to decisive result in first elections
    Photo by MacroPolis

    PoliticsGreek Politics

    to either govern on its own (14 pct) or to lead a coalition (16 pct). Just 6 pct of voters would... and Ellines 4.5 pct. This would lead to the following distribution of seats: 108 for ND, 90 for SYRIZA

    6%

  10. Mitsotakis asks voters for four more years to deliver high-wage, low-tax programme

    PoliticsGreek Politics

    of the Tempe accident, with Mitsotakis continuing to lead as the most popular candidate for the post... to lead a coalition, but it was the only pragmatic one given the results indicated by the polls

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