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  1. Newsletter 52 - 20/11/2015

    Newsletters

    passed the omnibus bill containing the last set of prior actions to unlock the next sub-tranche of 2.... Funding has dropped by 7.19 billion since July. 2 A rock and a hard place Greece faces prospect... far, there appears to be little willingness from these three parties to let Tsipras off the hook

    100%

  2. Greek debt: A case of learned helplessness?
    Photo by Myrto Papadopoulos [www.myrtopapadopoulos.com]

    Agora

    in the PSI had a 30-year maturity period, no principal repayment before the 11th year and a coupon of just 2... themselves on the hook for bank bailouts in their countries, the ECB vehemently opposed any debt

    58%

  3. Omnibus bill goes to Parliament as Greece seeks to unlock 2 bln sub-tranche

    EconomyProgramme

    including the prior actions needed for the disbursement of the next sub-tranche of 2 billion. The bill... retirement age limits gradually increase as of August 19 until January 1, 2022. 2) The minimum pension... by November 15 to unlock the second sub-tranche of 1 billion. The two sub-tranches of 2 and 1 billion

    51%

  4. Budget for 2017 sees primary surplus at 2 pct on 2.6 bln fiscal measures, strong growth
    Photo by Panayiotis Tzamaros/Fosphotos

    EconomyMacroeconomy

    upward revised to 2 percent of GDP from 1.8 percent in the draft budget, above target of 1.75... anticipated impact of 2.45 billion relate to: 1) Income tax reform (716 million) 2) Change in rates... for pensioners (95 million) and other interventions (50 million). 2) Savings from non-public sector

    47%

  5. Where is Odysseus? Part 2 - Uncertainty
    Photo by Panayotis Tzamaros/Fosphotos

    Agora

    retirement age was increased twice in Greece.[2] This increases the potential pool of labor... reality, if fertility remains weak. For completeness, we also show in Figure 2 (above) what...). [2] Laws 4093/2012 and 4302/2014 increased the statutory retirement age from 60 to 62 and from 65

    44%

  6. Does the EU Commission suffer from optimism bias? (Part 2)
    Photo by EC - Audiovisual Service

    Agora

    that member states (strategically) adopt this scenario as their own (for which there is evidence[2... emerges when we take the added effort to turn on System 2, or “Slow Thinking,” based on analysis... on “The Macroeconomy of the European Union: A Work in Progress” (in this blog text referred to as “the Book”). [2

    43%

  7. Stability Programme sees improved growth, primary surplus above 2 pct from 2024
    Photo by EC - Audiovisual Service

    EconomyMacroeconomy

    . The primary balance rises above 2 pct of GDP next year, up to 2.5 pct of GDP by 2026, which is broadly.... Private consumption will continue to grow by 2 pct in the two next years, towards a more moderate..., reaching 2 pct in 2025. Unemployment only falls below 10 pct in 2026, at 9.8 pct.

    43%

  8. Industrial production returns to growth of 2 pct in September
    Photo via https://flic.kr/p/8svhf

    EconomyMacroeconomy

    three contractions since June. It grew by 2 percent year-on-year (YoY), after dropping by 0.1 percent... a drop of 2 percent, after an increase of 0.9 percent in the previous month. The annual movement... business surveys for October, industry confidence went deeper into negative territory to -4.3, from -2

    43%

  9. Consumption and investments drive Q3 GDP growth of 2 pct YoY
    Image: MacroPolis

    EconomyMacroeconomy

    growth accelerated to 2 percent year-on-year (YoY), from a 1.6 percent YoY rise in Q2. Growth over the nine months of the year averages to 2 percent, needing a slightly stronger finish in the last... pct in 2026. In its latest WEO released in October, the IMF sees growth of 2 pct in 2025 and in 2026

    43%

  10. Honey, I shrunk the Greeks vol. 2

    Agora

    claims, you end up with a “subordination risk” where private money is seen as being inferior

    43%