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Newsletter 2 - 07/11/2014
pave the way for agreements between Greece and its European partners on a transition from..., with the troika sticking to its initial estimate of 2 billion. Although the Greek Finance Ministry... falling by 16.3 the previous month. 2 The politics of debt dynamics Management of sovereign debt dynamics
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With review completion in sight, which way next for Greece?
Agoraparliamentary debate on the pension and income tax reforms – worth 2 percent of GDP – but all voted... out of the way, there are no immediate legislative hurdles for the coalition to face. Barring
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Formalities proceed, paving way for June 25 vote and tough questions for opposition
PoliticsGreek Politicsto form a governing coalition. In fact, talks lasted only around 30 minutes, paving the way... few weeks. Although July 2 had been initially identified as the most likely date for the second
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Tsipras resigns, paves way for leadership contest at SYRIZA as left looks to regroup
PoliticsGreek Politicsat the helm of the left-wing grouping, paving the way for a leadership contest that could... 2008. Tsipras’s departure could pave the way for significant developments among Greece’s progressives... some way to go. There will likely come a time in this process, possibly before the next elections
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Omnibus bill goes to Parliament as Greece seeks to unlock 2 bln sub-tranche
EconomyProgrammeincluding the prior actions needed for the disbursement of the next sub-tranche of 2 billion. The bill... retirement age limits gradually increase as of August 19 until January 1, 2022. 2) The minimum pension... by November 15 to unlock the second sub-tranche of 1 billion. The two sub-tranches of 2 and 1 billion
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Budget for 2017 sees primary surplus at 2 pct on 2.6 bln fiscal measures, strong growth
EconomyMacroeconomyupward revised to 2 percent of GDP from 1.8 percent in the draft budget, above target of 1.75... anticipated impact of 2.45 billion relate to: 1) Income tax reform (716 million) 2) Change in rates... for pensioners (95 million) and other interventions (50 million). 2) Savings from non-public sector
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Where is Odysseus? Part 2 - Uncertainty
Agoraretirement age was increased twice in Greece.[2] This increases the potential pool of labor... reality, if fertility remains weak. For completeness, we also show in Figure 2 (above) what...). [2] Laws 4093/2012 and 4302/2014 increased the statutory retirement age from 60 to 62 and from 65
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Does the EU Commission suffer from optimism bias? (Part 2)
Agorathat member states (strategically) adopt this scenario as their own (for which there is evidence[2... emerges when we take the added effort to turn on System 2, or “Slow Thinking,” based on analysis... on “The Macroeconomy of the European Union: A Work in Progress” (in this blog text referred to as “the Book”). [2
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Stability Programme sees improved growth, primary surplus above 2 pct from 2024
EconomyMacroeconomy. The primary balance rises above 2 pct of GDP next year, up to 2.5 pct of GDP by 2026, which is broadly.... Private consumption will continue to grow by 2 pct in the two next years, towards a more moderate..., reaching 2 pct in 2025. Unemployment only falls below 10 pct in 2026, at 9.8 pct.
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Industrial production returns to growth of 2 pct in September
EconomyMacroeconomythree contractions since June. It grew by 2 percent year-on-year (YoY), after dropping by 0.1 percent... a drop of 2 percent, after an increase of 0.9 percent in the previous month. The annual movement... business surveys for October, industry confidence went deeper into negative territory to -4.3, from -2
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