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  1. Where is Odysseus? Part 3 - Participation
    Photo by Panayotis Tzamaros/Fosphotos

    Agora

    ” scenario restrains the recovery of the PR to 59½ percent.[2] If Greece were to approach the EU27 level... to be in the labor force (LF). This is shown in Figure 2. The baseline scenario for the labor force.... Recall, there are two reasons: 1. Slightly higher population and, 2. Slightly bigger WAP

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  2. Where is Odysseus? Part 6 - Potential real GDP
    Photo by MacroPolis

    Agora

    by the Greek government.[2] Our more-modest real GDP outlook for the long run is quite below that of the EU... productivity improvements must be pushed up mathematically, even to over 2 percent a year around the 2040s... these two diverging growth outlooks. Figure 2 graphs the comparison between the real GDP potential

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  3. Newsletter 416 - 15/03/2024

    Newsletters

    authorities. Even the lower growth rate of 2 pct last year puts Greece well ahead of the eurozone and EU... certainly live with a growth rate in the region of 2 pct for 2023. The area that the Greek authorities... expect growth rates of between 2 pct and 2.5% pct This will only complicate matters as the fiscal

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  4. Where is Greek growth coming from?
    Photo by Panayotis Tzamaros/Fosphotos

    Agora

    , as we remember. 2) Then came a period of gradual recovery, from mid-2013 to end- 2019. Growth rates... concluded that real growth could be over 2 percent, even up to 2.5 percent. I have some concerns about...; dotted line is Euro20).[2] In Greece, consumption hovers around 90 percent of GDP, whereas in the Euro20

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  5. Newsletter 443 - 29/11/2024

    Newsletters

    at just 4.3 pct, down by more than 2 points since the last poll. Having established themselves... is on the cusp with 3 pct. The poll also projects 2 pct for the Spartiates, the Golden Dawn... one percentage point, with a 2023 negative saving rate of close to 2 pct. This leads Greece

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  6. Moody's upgrading Greece to investment grade puts an end to painful 15-year cycle
    Photo by MacroPolis

    Economy

    digitalisation strategy. In 2024 alone, anti-evasion measures yielded an extra 2 billion euros in tax revenue... to maintain primary budget surpluses of 2–2.5 pct of GDP through the medium term. Greece has also consistently met NATO's 2 pct of GDP defence spending target, avoiding the need for major new defence

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  7. Q1 GDP virtually unchanged with just 0.04 pct QoQ growth, investments drop sharply
    Photo by MacroPolis

    EconomyMacroeconomy

    by 0.7 percent. Exports of goods were down by 0.8 percent QoQ and services exports decreased by 2 percent. Imports of goods dropped by 0.03 percent and services were up by 2 percent. Compared to Q1 2024... in 2025. In its latest WEO released in April, the IMF sees growth of 2 pct in 2025. In its latest

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  8. Q2 GDP moderates further to 1.7 pct YoY as households spending slows
    Photo by MacroPolis

    EconomyMacroeconomy

    taken H1 growth to just under 2 percent, which suggests stronger growth will be needed in H2... by 0.8 percent and services were down by 2 percent. Compared to Q2 2024, final consumption... in April, the IMF sees growth of 2 pct in 2025. In its latest economic outlook this month, the OECD

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  9. General gov't primary cash surplus rises to 3.4 bln in Oct but arrears also growing

    EconomyMacroeconomy

    in the 10-month period, with the state budget figure at 2.03 billion, making up more than half of total. Last... funds' arrears rose by 141 million MoM to 2.47 billion making up half of total arrears. Hospitals’ arrears followed suit accounting for 18 percent of total. In absolute figures, they hiked to 904

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  10. General gov't cash surplus sees large contraction in Jan-Feb, arrears edge up

    EconomyMacroeconomy

    of total arrears. These two gg entities also recorded the highest rise in arrears year to date at 300... budget arrears increased by a modest 9 million MoM to 144 million (3.7 percent of total), while local governments’ arrears remained almost stable at 239 million (6.2 percent of total). In contrast

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