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Does the EU Commission suffer from optimism bias? (Part 2)
Agoraof 2009-2010 would show). This suggests also some pro-cyclicality in the forecasts.[4] More recently, the EC... Prize was awarded). [4] Linear extensions from previous years are common in forecasts. Cautious
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Newsletter 375 - 24/03/2023
) on 7.7 pct, ultra-nationalist Greek Solution 4 pct, radical left MeRA25 3.7 pct and 7.5 pct would... spiked to 5 pct, with the 10-year benchmark currently trading near 4 pct, not having gone far above 4.5
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Leaders set out priorities, survey suggests many voters open to coalition
PoliticsGreek Politics. The Communist Party (KKE) follows on 6 pct, ultra-nationalist Greek Solution on 4 and radical left MeRA25 on 4. The survey also suggests that far-right Ellines (Greeks) would pass the 3 pct threshold
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Newsletter 377 - 07/04/2023
for centre-left PASOK. The Communist Party (KKE) follows on 6 pct, ultra-nationalist Greek Solution on 4 and radical left MeRA25 on 4. The survey also suggests that far-right Ellines (Greeks) would pass the 3
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PDMA nears completion of annual debt strategy, taking another cautious step
Economyauction settled just under 4 pct, at 3.97 pct and was oversubscribed 5.28x with total offers of 1.32..., with offers of 1.7 billion euros and 4.31 pct yield. The 15-year has a coupon of 4 pct and yesterday
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On monetary policy and inflation targeting
Agoraotherwise necessary.[4] With inflation targeting, as in country B, the past rate of inflation is irrelevant... the curve and their credibility got hit, for now. [4] The academic literature assesses
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Rise of small parties creates pre- and post-election complications
PoliticsGreek Politicsgaining 42 pct, SYRIZA 19.5, PASOK 12, KKE 7, Plefsi Eleftherias 4.5, Greek Solution 4 and Niki 4
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Newsletter 385 - 16/06/2023
, Greek Solution 4 and Niki 4. MeRA25 is projected to get no more than 1.8 pct. If replicated on June
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Consumer confidence takes 10-point dive in September
EconomyMacroeconomy) dropped by 4 points to 111.4 points in September, after staying unchanged in the previous month. The EEI... October last year, industry confidence has risen by 4 points. The services index was essentially
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Industrial turnover records five months of contraction after 6.2 pct drop in Aug
EconomyMacroeconomy-domestic market was down by 9.9 percent. In the domestic market, the drop in August was led by a 4..., industry confidence has risen by 4 points. Overall, economic sentiment (ESI) recorded a drop of almost 3
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