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Newsletter 349 - 02/09/2022
, bringing the ruling party’s backing down to 31.4 pct. Support for SYRIZA has edged up by almost 1 point to 25.1, while PASOK saw an increase of 1 point to 12.1. There was little change among the other... of the Transition Fund are not expected to exceed 1 billion euros in September, which means that the state budget
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Reflections on Greece's balance of payments
Agoraof payments.[1] We can also say that Y - C = S: income minus consumption equals “savings” in the economy... to the balance of payments. This institution was called the “International Monetary Fund.” Figure 1 below.... The solid line repeats the current account balance from Figure 1. The dashed line shows the government
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Newsletter 364 - 23/12/2022
SYRIZA by almost 2:1. The findings suggest that despite the derision heaped on the support measures... in its latest report a “soft landing”, with the growth rate somewhere between 1 and 1.5 pct, from... sees growth even lower to 1 pct, while inflation is also seen persisting into 2023 at 6 pct. In its
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Does the EU Commission suffer from optimism bias? (Part 2)
Agoranotes that our first responses to stimuli are often heuristic and superficial. This is System 1, or “Fast Thinking,” based on instincts and emotion. System 1 has evolved for survival and immediate..., then the subsequent revisions will likely be revised downwards over time. Figure 1 is a plot of five
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Macroeconomic fundamentals for Greece
Agora(2020-2029)? Demographics. To answer this question, let us start with Figure 1. Data are from the UN’s most... of the 2020s (Table 1). Until around 2025, the cyclical recovery is overriding the demographic anchor... that is consistent with this debt commitment amounts to maximum 1.5 percent of GDP.[1] Greece receives a large
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Where is Greek growth coming from?
Agorathree stages for the Greek economy. 1) The collapse of activity between early-2009 and mid-2013..., which drives aggregate demand.[1] Aggregate supply can be captured by two numbers: how many new workers... of qualified labor already, and demographics are adverse). If employment can grow by another 1
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Central government debt rises to 403.2 bln in Q2, cash reserves near 42 bln
EconomyMacroeconomyGreece’s central government debt recorded a rise of roughly 1 billion euros to 403.2 billion euros... (over 5 years) debt made up 73.4 percent of the total, while short-term (up to 1 year) and medium-term (1 to 5 years) debt accounted for 16.5 percent and 10.1 percent respectively. Greece’s cash
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Greece's labour market is austerity's biggest casualty
Agoraand retail sale indices, the correlation is evident and since the crisis began there is a roughly 1 for just over 1 percentage impact between GDP drop and industrial production and 1 for 1.5 relationship
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2014 draft budget: An ambitious fiscal consolidation targeting a primary surplus of 1.6 pct
EconomyMacroeconomyamount to 16.5 billion and stem from: 1) 5.23 billion issued in 2009 for bank recap, under the Liquidity... for the anticipated improvement in 2014 are: 1) a turnaround of investments, targeted to increase... for the first time since the beginning of the crisis by 1 percentage point yoy to 24.5 percent in 2014
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When will Greek banks operate as credit institutions again?
Agora27 per cent between 2010 and Q3-2013.[1] But this apparent success story risks being undermined...-oriented to southeast Europe, including Greece, which is seeking a loan of 1 million euros from its local... ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ [1] See Bank of Greece, Note on the Greek Economy, Athens
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