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We can't ignore population shifts within the European Union
Agora, there may be 4 million more inhabitants in the Netherlands, rather than the 1.4 million loss in the 2019... institutions.[4] That may contribute to a migration of population out of the south-east regions to the north... has stopped the freedom of movement of EU citizens. [4] The Gallup World Poll is a key source
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Greek fiscal deficits and debt since 2000
Agora, or almost 4 percentage points of GDP! This difference between the overall balance and the variation... is a temporary injection into the economy; this is not a structural driver of future deficits.[4] *Bob... administration, destroy confidence, and raise the country risk premium. [4] It is also a fact
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Where is Odysseus? Part 6 - Potential real GDP
Agorascenarios of our blogs.[4] What we see is that the Commission/Greece baseline (the dotted line... not have a growth rate of 3 or 4, or even 5 percent, but these high growth rates are not average... (structural) trend average that counts for potential growth over time. [4] To extend the EU Commission
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ND's opinion poll decline thrusts PASOK back into spotlight
PoliticsGreek Politics. The party’s ratings jumped from 2 to 4 pct. The undetermined vote, including undecided voters... for New Democracy by 2 to 4 percentage points is more than just a temporary blip and is replicated... in Parliament and ND would have a roughly 4:1 ratio of its MPs to PASOK’s deputies. In a radio interview
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Macroeconomic fundamentals for Greece
Agora, we can calculate how many units of labor (L) Greece can deliver in the economy (Figure 4.... Over time, this debt will roll over on market terms. New debt has been placed recently requiring 4..., which will be growing. We estimate for now an underlying structural interest bill of 4 percent
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Greece - Some structural macroeconomic arithmetic
Agora. Interest rates on the new debt issues in Greece have hovered around 4 percent. At the current 165 percent of GDP debt ratio, this shadow price suggests that the underlying interest bill is 4*1.65=6.6.... This is clearly not doable. Rather, at a debt ratio of 60 percent, such an interest bill would be 4
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Is Greece on track to decouple from fossil gas?
Agorain Figure 4, fossil gas displaced lignite from the lead in the Greek electricity production mix..., which reached a 10-year low in 2023. Figure 4: The evolution of the electricity production mix...) and the corresponding emissions from the electricity sector will exceed the approximately 4 million tons
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PASOK sets terms for leadership debate as voters show mild interest in vote
PoliticsGreek Politicscontest will see the first round of voting held on Sunday, October 4, with a run-off vote between the two... at the time. Among PASOK voters who say they will cast a ballot in the October 4 vote, incumbent...-minister, Pavlos Geroulanos, on 16 pct. No other candidate gets more than 4 pct support. New
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Government tables 2025 budget, seeing stable growth, solid public finances and lower debt
EconomyMacroeconomythis year. Exports growth will slow down to 4 percent, from a 5.4 percent rise in 2024, while imports also slightly moderate, growing by 3.6 percent, from 4 percent this year. Nominal GDP is seen at 247.51... budget affirms the solid tax performance this year, exceeding the initial target by nearly 4 billion
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Newsletter 442 - 22/11/2024
refined oil to the region. Export growth in 2025 is seen slowing down to 4 pct in 2025, from 5.4 pct..., broadly stable with the 4 pct imports growth seen in 2024. Consumption continues to have... in September, dropping by 7.9 pct year-on-year, from 4 pct in the previous month. Manufacturing revenue
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